Sunday, March 09, 2008

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The Big Picture of Currency Trading

By: James Theiss

Online currency trading (also known as FOREX, for foreign exchange) has all the benefits that a trader could want. With the 24 hour, 6 days a week marketplace, you can trade before work, during work, or after work. Whenever you see fit. The day begins in New Zealand and follows the sun through Asia, into Europe, and then the US. Then it starts all over again.

The FOREX market is the most liquid market in the world. That means that a trader can enter or exit the currency market whenever they want. With no commissions and no gaps, or lock limits, and no daily trading limit either. This market is bigger in daily volume than all of the other stock, bond, and futures markets of the world combined! And then some!

Leverage of 100 to 1 is considered normal when currency trading. Compare that to the 2 to 1 margin accounts at your stock brokerage. Plus, there's no margin interest expense either. But you better have your risk management system in place because, remember, leverage cuts both ways.

You've heard the saying,the trend is your friend. Well guess what the best trending market is? That's right, the FOREX market. Central banks and governments set their own monetary policy. Take the Fed for example. They don't (usually) raise interest rates today and then next week lower them. And then raise them again. No, they tend to gradually, over time, raise them, month by month, until they feel they are correctly positioned. And then they lower them, month by month, or quarter by quarter, whichever. That gradual tightening and loosening over an extended period of time is what creates those wonderful trends.

When you are trading currencies online, remember to trade with the trend. And when the trend ends, get out. It's that simple, just not that easy. Then start looking for the trend to reverse itself. You need to have no hang ups about being long or short when you trade currencies. At any given time, approximately a third of the currency pairs are are going up, a third are going down, and the other third are going sideways. So don't be afraid to go short. If you are coming from the stock market, there are no short squeezes to worry about, no one uptick rule, or any other crazy rules. You just decide to buy or sell; that's it.

When you trade currencies online, they are always bought and sold in pairs. An example of a currency pair is the popularly traded EUR/USD. This is the Euro vs. the U.S. Dollar. The currency on the left is called the base currency. The one on the right is the cross currency

If you buy the EUR/USD currency pair, you are buying euros, and at the same time, selling dollars. You would do this if you think the Euro is going to rise in value and/or you think the Dollar is going to fall in value.

If you sell the EUR/USD currency pair, you are selling euros, and at the same time, buying dollars. You would do this if you think the Euro is going to decline in value and/or you think the Dollar is going to rise in value.

Currency trading has so many benefits and advantages to it, it is no wonder why it is the fastest growing segment of the online trading community. The FOREX market offers superior potential to realize profits in any market condition or business cycle, making online currency trading an ideal diversification element in your total investment portfolio.

James is a successful online currency trader and also runs the popular website www.todayscurrencytrading.com

Some Forex Ideas

easy forex



Forex, short for Foreign Exchange, is one of the several markets into which Foreign currencies, stock and assets are traded. Knowing how sensitive these markets are to information and leads, stock brokers and managers are always in search for a source of unbiased reviews, analysis and data, and thus comes FxGround.com, which positions itself as the ultimate place from which operators can get a crash course and quick insight as to what�s happening in the Forex market. The site targets highly proficient traders and beginners alike, by providing a very detailed and useful �School of Pipsology�, where you can learn all the stuff you need to get around in the market and take advantage of a great tool like FxGround.com. In regards to those advanced users I was mentioning, the scope and variety of services they can get from this site is truly impressive, just take look at stuff like the Forex Reviewer Club, where all the site�s registered members review other Forex information tools and sites to determine which the most unbiased, useful alert senders or brokerage firms are. All the community votes affirmatively or negatively on these reviews and thus they come up with a consensual result on the web�s best Forex tools. Other than this, the site provides its users with valuable resources like RSS feeds, latest multimedia news on the market tendencies and a forum, plus an extensive selection of blogs which over financial and forex topics.
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FAIR VALUE
The concept of fair value in any currency is largely that of CBers and economists and not much about trading. Almost always currencies overshoot from the fair value areas some 20-30% in their medium-term trend and what makes all hard currencies range in reasonable areas overtime since we had this floating regime in 1971 must the ability of relevant CBs to control the currency ranges and their real economy's weakness or strength to support those ranges. ECB folks were not joking when they said Eur/usd was some 25% undervalued from the fair value when Eur/Usd was below parity levels two years ago. Same goes for BOJ when they were saying Yen was some 10-20% overvalued when it was trading around 100 some three years ago too. That is how these folks view the markets and try to guide the market. Of course, when US Treasury folks say "Dollar is still strong" when it is falling, they are begging the market to sell more dollars
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DCIO issued an additional advisory in 2007 concerning foreign currency trading by retail customers (PDF). The DCIO Advisory addresses the following issues: (1) registration requirements for associated persons of firms registered as introducing brokers (IBs), commodity trading advisors, and commodity pool operators that are involved in forex transactions; (2) the permissibility of certain unregistered affiliates of a futures commission merchant (FCM) to act as proper counterparties in forex transactions; (3) claims that forex customer funds are segregated; (4) introducing entities acting as FCMs; (5) the applicability of the IB guarantee agreement to forex transactions and prohibiting guaranteed IBs from introducing forex transactions to an FCM that is not its guarantor FCM; (6) prohibiting forex account statements of an FCM�s unregistered affiliate from being included in the FCM�s account statements to its customers; and (7) prohibiting retail customers from acting as counterparties to each other in forex transactions.
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Presently Forex market is a global telecommunication network of banks and different financial organizations. It does not have any fixed trading place and time restrictions - the trade starts on Monday morning in New Zealand and closes on Friday evening in USA
Check out the first commercially available Stock Trading Robot Which Earns $346.77 Per Week

Forex News Galore

Senate gets tough on foreign toys

Thu, 06 Mar 2008 18:37:31 EST
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How To Get Started In FOREX Trading

The foreign exchange market (FOREX) offers many advantages to investors. But you need to know where to begin. This short guide will give you the FOREX basics, so you can quickly start participating in this fast growing market.

In the past, foreign exchange trading was limited to large players such as national banks and multi-national corporations. In the 1980�s the rules were changed to allow smaller investors to participate using margin accounts. Margin accounts are the reason why FOREX trading has become so popular. With a 100:1 margin account, you can control $100,000 with a $1,000 investment.

A Learning Curve

FOREX is not simple, though, so you�ll need some knowledge to make wise investment decisions. Although it is relatively easy to start trading on the FOREX, there are risks involved. Your first move as a beginner should be to find out as much as possible about the forex market before risking a dime.

Find A Forex Broker

FOREX traders usually require a broker to handle transactions. Most brokers are reputable and are associated with large financial institutions such as banks. A reputable broker will be registered as a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as protection against fraud and abusive trade practices.

Open an Account with a forex borker

Opening a FOREX account is as simple as filling out a form and providing the necessary identification. The form includes a margin agreement which states that the broker may interfere with any trade deemed to be too risky. This is to protect the interests of the broker, since most trades are done using the broker�s money.

Once your account has been established, you can fund it and begin trading.

Many brokers offer a variety of accounts to suit the needs of individual investors. Mini accounts allow you to get involved in FOREX trading for as little as $250. Standard accounts may have a minimum deposit of $1000 to $2500, depending on the broker. The amount of leverage (how much borrowed money you can use) varies with account type. High leverage accounts give you more money to trade for a given investment.

Trades are commission-free, meaning that you can make many trades in one day without worrying about incurring high brokerage fees. Brokers make their money on the �spread�: the difference between bid and ask prices.

Paper Trading Forex Market

Beginning traders are strongly advised get accustomed to FOREX by doing "paper trades" for a period of time. Paper trades are practice transactions that don�t involve real capital. They allow you to see how the system works while learning how to use the various software tools provided by most FOREX brokers.

Most online brokers have demo accounts that allow you to make free paper trades for up to 30 days. Every new FOREX investor should use these demo accounts at least until they are consistently showing profits.

FOREX Software

Each forex broker has its own set of software tools for making transactions, but there are a few tools that are common to all FOREX brokers. Real-time quotes, news feeds, technical analyses and charts, and profit-and-loss analyses are some of the features you can expect to see on most online brokers� web sites.

Almost every broker operates on the Internet. To access a broker�s online services you�ll need a reasonably modern computer, a fast Internet connection, and an up-to-date operating system. Once your account is set up, you can access it from any computer just by entering your account name and password. If for some reason you are unable get to a computer, most brokers will allow you to make trades over the phone.

There are lots of ways to make money. FOREX trading is just one more potential stream of income � if you are prepared to learn and practice.

From http://www.forex-articles.net

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The Tokyo Fix is where the FX rate is established for the day by the banks for their customers. So even though the FX rate may change during the day the customer gets the rate at the time of the fix. There is a fix in Tokyo, London and Toronto (more I am sure). Importers generally settle their accounts on the 5th, 10th, 15th, etc, of the month before and up until the fix ():50 GMT). Sometimes, if there is an "excess" dollar demand $/JPY will continue to climb slightly after the fix. $Bulls will also use this as a staging for extending a rally. $Bears (Yen Bulls) will use this to establish better shorts.
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DIFFERENT CENTERS
The first hour after opening in Tokyo tend to provide the best liquidity of the day and that is when most heavyweight players try to position their way without having much difficulty for the day. Sydney open is more often used as an ambush hour by certain players using the time window till Tokyo open. One rule of thumb is when Yen jumps at Tokyo open the chances are it will continue throughout the day and a few more days. On different point, learn to position trade Yen or any other currency if one is really going to make a big money one day. Fwiw.
One hour from Tokyo open, London open and NY open are the times where most liquidity of the market exist. And that is where market makers are busy setting the trend for the session or even the day. Your observation has a merit because most of the session or daily moves are started either in London open or Tokyo open or NY open. Especially London Open. Other markets are too thin for any good sized traders to make their market views felt. Good luck.
London is just a market place where all sorts of Forex folks flock to buy and sell. It does not have to be London folks. It could be anyone from anywhere in the world with deep pockets who start setting the market direction on a given day. Same goes for NY and Tokyo sessions markets. In any case, Tokyo and NY still relatively small markets when compared to London as far as Forex goes.

currency exchange rate



Basic forex pivot point trading is based on two prevailing tendencies. If a day�s price action begins above the pivot point, prices will tend to stay above that point (fulcrum) until it reaches a resistance point. Conversely, if a day�s pricing action begins below the pivot point, the price will tend to stay below that point until it reaches a support point. A resistance level is a price that tends to prevent further upward movement. A support price is a price action point that tends to prevent further downward movement

Forex News

Forex - Weak Data Is Only Beginning to Hurt the US Dollar

Sat, 18 Nov 2006 16:29:00 GMT
FXCM - DAILYFX Fundamentals 11-17-06

By Kathy Lien, Chief Strategist of www.


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For the beginner, FX FOREX currency trading the popular currency pairs are Euro dollar and the US dollar (EUR/USD) or the British pound and the Japanese yen (GBP/JPY).
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Corrections may take days or longer to complete. Good quality info is everything in this game. Bottom picking in the Usd/Jpy is the Mother of all risky trades. We learn how to trade till we stop trading and we learn from each other everyday. That is the beauty of trading and life in general.

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FX traders include governments, corporations and fund managers doing business with foreign countries, that need to exchange one currency for another, and speculators who seek to profit from price movements in the markets.

Forex News From Around The World

GFT Daily Market Commentary

Tue, 04 Mar 2008 20:36:32 -0500
Forex Market Commentary for March 5, 2008 by Cornelius Luca

GFT Daily Market Commentary


The dollar ended little changed on Tuesday amid talk that Ambac is nearing a deal to raise capital. As it remains quite oversold, the dollar to consolidate on a bullish note. The medium-term outlook remains bearish. Keep an eye on the non-farm productivity, the non-manufacturing ISM, and the Beige book


Euro/dollar


Euro/dollar closed flat on Tuesday as well. My model remains long since February 14, but with the pair being overbought, there is a risk of a decline. Reverse long positions only on a confirmed decline

Immediate support is still seen at 1.5160. The next level is 1.5105. Below 1.5040, there is further support at 1.4965.

Initial resistance is at 1.5272. Above this pivot high, resistance comes at 1.5355. Distant resistance is now seen at 1.5575.

Oscillators are mixed.


NEAR-TERM: Mixed with downside risk
MEDIUM-TERM: Bullish
LONG-TERM: Bullish

Dollar/yen


Dollar/yen closed little changed on Tuesday after getting stuck in an inside range, but is near a three-year low. Mixed trading is likely today as well – and the short-term bias is up.

Immediate resistance is seen at 103.70. Strong resistance is at 104.50 from a 50-point pivot that targets 104.00 and 105.00.

Support is still seen at 103.05. Distant support is at 102.30 from a 50-point pivot, which targets 101.80 and 102.80.

Oscillators are mixed.


NEAR-TERM: Mixed with upside risk
MEDIUM-TERM: Bearish
LONG-TERM: Bearish

Sterling/dollar


Sterling/dollar consolidated on Tuesday but remained in an inside range. I still like to remain square here.

Immediate support is seen at 1.9805. Below 1.9765, the next level follows at 1.9645.

Initial resistance comes at 1.9895. A break above the pivotal level at 1.9971 would signal another further rally above the 2 mark. This is followed by 2.0040.

Oscillators are mixed.


NEAR-TERM: Mixed
MEDIUM-TERM: Bearish
LONG-TERM: Mixed

Dollar/Swiss franc


Dollar/Swiss is soft after getting stuck in an inside range on Tuesday. My model remains short. Mixed to higher trading is likely today.

Initial resistance now comes at 1.0455. The next level is 1.0500. Above 1.0610, resistance comes at 1.0725.

Immediate support is now seen at 1.0335. Below 1.0290, support is now pegged at 1.0170.

Oscillators are declining.


NEAR-TERM: Mixed with upside risk
MEDIUM-TERM: Bearish
LONG-TERM: Bearish



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What will this mean for the currency trading market?

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In order to find a reputable broker or brokerage firm you�ll need to find out what others have thought of the prospective brokers� performance. One of the best ways to do that is to visit a few different financial discussion forums where you can ask questions and find out what others have thought about specific traders.

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Forex fx currency symbols are always three letters, where the first two letters identify the name of the currency and the third letter identifies the name of the country's currency.

forex signals



You can start playing the currency trading market with real market conditions immediately. Trading opportunities in the forex currency trading market are now available to individuals through technology interfaces such as those used by major currency trading brokerage firms (usually large corporations with big tummies). If you decide to hire a professional who takes advantage of this technology, you will be able to view your accounts' closed trades 24 hours per day through a secured, online access portal.

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Japan taps new central bank chief

Fri, 07 Mar 2008 06:18:51 EST
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